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美联储检测到全美经济增长不均衡

华盛顿(美联社) --美国经济在秋季早期增长不均衡,超过半数的地区扩展适度的同时其他州在努力增长。

美联储在周三公布的一份调查发现美联储12个地区中的7个地区报道商业活动在稳健的改善。 三个地区-—费城,里士满和克利夫兰—经济活动描述成为混合或者稳定。 仅仅两个地区--亚特兰大和达拉斯--表示经济的增长是缓慢的。

调查表明经济没有削弱但是增长缓慢压低了高失业率,目前是百分之9.6。 失业率是或者在百分之9.5以上有超过一年的时间。

“雇佣仍然受限,有许公司不愿增加雇佣考虑到经济的疲软,”美联储的调查结论。

高的失业是美联储最关注的。这也是美联储主席本伯南克以及他的同仁为什么被普遍期待开展新的计划在其11月23日的会议以促进经济。 美联储被预期购买国库债券以压低贷款,公司贷款以及其他债券利率。 希望有较便宜的信誉将劝说美国人增加开支,这将帮助经济成长和引导公司更多雇佣工人。

美联储的调查,被称之为褐皮书,将被列入美联储政策制定者的讨论在11月会议讨论关于经济发展。

地区调查的依据是从美联储的12地区银行在10月8日前的信息。 它比广阔统计数据更能清楚的反应整个经济。

“总的来看不是令人沮丧的,尽管以前一直是,”詹尼弗李说,蒙特利尔银行资本市场的经济学家。 “美联储对增长的看法有变化?或没有。  但是,还是继续建议要围绕城市继续增长—不是收缩”她说,涉及衰退。

从九月初起经济没有多少改变,当美联储先前的调查注意到七个地区适中的商业活动的改进。有什么可以区分哪些地区是增长的,哪些是需要努力的。

例如,纽约和芝加哥报告经济活动的兴起,在之前周期缓慢增长之后。 相反地,达拉斯地区是在显示这一时期更多的减弱,在最近公布的报告之显示的适度的发展之后。

不管怎样,经济变缓仅仅几个月。 在六月,所有12个美联储区域报道其经济是增长的。 这是第一次,自从经济衰退开始在2007年底。这最主要的原因是美联储在下个月准备开始新一轮的刺激政策。

消费者开支是平缓的适度的在多数美联储地区,根据新的调查。 例外情况: 里士满和亚特兰大地区,在其中商业区交通和销售都有所下降。

一个主要影响经济增长的原因是市场的疲软,因为消费者的花销不够多。 被衰退连续猛击,他们试图通过花费更少恢复他们的财政,节省更多和调整债务。美联储的调查注意到购物者仍然是意识到价格并且很大程度上限制购买在必需品上。

一疲软的的住房市场也抑制大多数部分地区的经济增长。 然而,有一些分散性的改进报告。 费城地区注意到之前已使用的房屋销售有上升。 里士满,达拉斯和堪萨斯州城市地区所有较高价位的房屋销售被报道有上升。

工厂在大多数地区扩产。 唯一的例外情况是费城和里士满的这些地区,这里的制造业有退化,美联储说。 向外国出口帮助促进制造业生产在克利夫兰,芝加哥以及堪萨斯州城市。

一份独立的美联储报告在这周早期发布,然而,发现工厂的产量在全美9月份是下降的。制造业的突增发生在今年早期,公司订购所有品种的商品补充库存在衰退时期的减少。

 


 
Fed survey points to uneven growth across US

WASHINGTON (AP) -- The U.S. economy grew unevenly in early fall, with more than half the regions of the country expanding modestly while others struggled to grow.

A survey by the Federal Reserve released Wednesday found that seven of the Fed's 12 regions reported moderate improvements in business activity. Three regions -- Philadelphia, Richmond and Cleveland -- described economic activity as mixed or steady. Only two regions -- Atlanta and Dallas -- suggested economic growth was slow.

The survey indicated that the economy isn't weakening but is growing too sluggishly to drive down high unemployment, now at 9.6 percent. The jobless rate has been at or above 9.5 percent for more than a year.

"Hiring remains limited, with many firms reluctant to add to permanent payrolls given economic softness," the Fed survey concluded.

High unemployment is one of the Fed's biggest concerns. That's why Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke and his colleagues are widely expected to launch a new program at their Nov. 2-3 meeting to bolster the economy. The Fed is expected to buy Treasury bonds in a bid to drive down interest rates on mortgages, corporate loans and other debt. The hope is that cheaper credit will persuade Americans to increase spending, which would help the economy grow and lead companies to hire more workers.

The Fed's survey, known as the Beige Book, will figure into Fed policymakers' discussions at the November meeting about how the economy is faring.

The region-by-region survey is based on information collected from the Fed's 12 regional banks on or before Oct. 8. It provides a more intimate look at the overall economy than broad statistics.

"The overall read wasn't as depressing as it could have been," said Jennifer Lee, economist at BMO Capital Markets. "Does it change the outlook on growth or the Fed? Nope. But it does continue to suggest that growth continues around the country -- not contraction," she said, referring to a slide back into recession.

The economic picture hasn't changed much from early September, when the Fed's previous survey noted that seven regions saw modest improvement in business activity. What is different is which regions are growing, and which are struggling.

For instance, New York and Chicago reported a pick up in economic activity after having slower growth in the previous cycle. Conversely, the Dallas region was more subdued this time around after showing modest expansion the last report.

Either way, the economy has slowed from just a few months ago. In June, all 12 Fed regions reported their economies were growing. It was the first time that happened since the start of the recession in late 2007. That's a major reason the Fed is ready to launch a new round of stimulus next month.

Consumer spending was flat to moderately positive in most Fed regions, according to the new survey. The exceptions: the Richmond and Atlanta regions, where mall traffic and sales declined.

One of the main reasons why economic growth is so sluggish is because consumers aren't spending a lot. Battered by the recession, they are trying to repair their finances by spending less, saving more and trimming debt. The Fed's survey noted that shoppers remain price conscious and are largely limiting purchases to necessities.

A weak housing market also restrained economic growth in most parts of the country. There were, however, some scattered reports of improvement. The Philadelphia region noted a pickup in sales of previously occupied homes. The Richmond, Dallas and Kansas City regions all reported increases in the sale of higher-priced homes.

Factories expanded production in most regions. The only exceptions were the regions of Philadelphia and Richmond, where manufacturing activity softened, the Fed said. Exports to foreign countries helped to boost manufacturing activity in Cleveland, Chicago and Kansas City.

A separate Fed report released earlier this week, however, found that production at factories throughout the United States declined in September. A burst of manufacturing activity occurred earlier this year as companies placed orders for all kinds of goods to replenish stockpiles that had dwindled during the recession.

 


 

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