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国会估计:2010年的赤字为$1.3万亿

华盛顿( 美联社 )—国会预算局星期四估计,刚完成的2010预算年度联邦赤字略少于1.3万亿美元。

国会预算局将2009年的预算125十亿美元张贴在1.42万亿美元之下。

那意味着政府从每美元借37分,此花费持续落后于税收,当食品救济券和失业津贴的花费上升,经济缓慢推出经济衰退。

国会预算局数据基于初始数据但是应该十分接近财政部官员在一周左右计算出的结果。

报告提供了最新的政府财政问题的提示,在过去不到一个月的选举中期内的一个重要的文件。 从国会预算局在前的预算中得到轻微的改进。

当民主党人和共和党人对延迟布什时代减税争斗时,最近的赤字记录产生了。两党之间的主要差别在于—在未来十年大约超过700十亿—对于个人是否延迟减税超过$200,000及家庭超过$250,000。 双方面一般地同意在其它布什税收削减中延迟$3.3万亿。

共和党人和一些民主党人想要高收入纳税人保持减税。 民主党领导人选择避免对抗和被打上税收远足者烙印的风险并且推迟了国会对此麻烦事的解决到选举之后。

赤字低于去年的记录是由于108十亿美元的偿还和从不受欢迎的困难资产救济计划中的收入,2008年财政救助服务行业。

紧急救助$700十亿的最终费用的结果少于以前估计—仅仅低于最近的财政部估计$50十亿—但是问题资产救助计划的成功不会受到选民的欢迎。

在经济中的持续衰弱意味着相对于2009年收入和社会保障税收入两者都会下降,尽管事实是经济开始再次增长,自从19世纪30年代最糟糕的衰退后。 所得税收入下降百分之1.6,工资税下降百分之3.2,反映就业增长中持续疲软。

同时,当失业率在全国范围内徘徊接近于百分之十并且国会更新对于长期失业的福利,失业津贴上升了百分之34。

2010年赤字等于差不多百分之九的经济比例,远多于百分之3,以及经济学家说在长期间是能承受的。 预算变化,但是赤字在被期待可能下降$800十亿或者在几年前无法维持联邦的退休计划—医疗保险和社会保险—开支。

单一年赤字的$1万亿一直没有发生直到2年以前。 2009年$1.4万亿赤字超过以前的记录保持者3次以上,454.8十亿美元的记录在2008年。

2010年一个亮点是公司税收入几乎百分之40的增加。


 
Congressional estimate: $1.3T deficit for 2010

WASHINGTON (AP) -- The federal deficit for the just-finished 2010 budget year was a little under $1.3 trillion, the Congressional Budget Office estimated Thursday.

The CBO puts the deficit about $125 billion below the $1.42 trillion record posted for 2009.

That means the government borrowed 37 cents out of every dollar it spent as tax revenues continued to lag while spending on food stamps and unemployment benefits went up as the economy slowly pulls out of the recession.

The CBO figures are based on preliminary data but should be very close to the Treasury Department's official tally due in a week or so.

The report provides a fresh reminder of the government's fiscal problems, a major issue in midterm elections less than a month away. It's a slight improvement from prior CBO estimates.

The near-record deficits come as Democrats and Republicans are battling over extending Bush-era tax cuts. The chief difference between the combatents -- about $700 billion over the coming decade -- is whether to extend tax cuts for individuals making more than $200,000 and families making over $250,000. Both sides generally agree on extending $3.3 trillion in other Bush tax cuts.

Republicans and a few Democrats want to preserve the tax cuts for upper-income taxpayers. Democratic leaders opted to avoid the confrontation and the risk of being branded tax hikers and adjourned the Congress for the matter to be resolved after the elections.

The decline in the deficit from last year's record is due to $108 billion in repayments and other revenues from the unpopular Troubled Assets Relief Program, the 2008 bailout of the financial services sector.

The ultimate cost of the $700 billion bailout is turning out to be considerably less than previously estimated -- just $50 billion under latest Treasury Department estimates -- but the success of the TARP program hasn't made it any more popular with voters.

The continuing weakness in the economy means that income and Social Security tax revenues both dropped relative to 2009, despite the fact that the economy has begun to grow again after the worst recession since the 1930s. Income tax revenues are down 1.6 percent and payroll taxes are down 3.2 percent, reflecting continued weakness in job growth.

At the same time, unemployment benefits jumped 34 percent as the jobless rate hovered near 10 percent nationwide and Congress renewed benefits for the long-term unemployed.

The 2010 deficit equaled almost 9 percent of the size of the economy, far more than the 3 percent or so that economists say is sustainable over the long term. Estimates vary, but the deficit is expected to drop to perhaps $800 billion or so in a few years before unsustainable spending on federal retirement programs -- Medicare and Social Security -- kick in.

Deficits of $1 trillion in a single year had never happened until two years ago. The $1.4 trillion deficit in 2009 was more than three times the size of the previous record-holder, a $454.8 billion deficit recorded in 2008.

One bright spot in 2010 was an almost 40 percent increase in corporate tax receipts.


 

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